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    The description :oxford economics is a leader in global forecasting and quantitative analysis, with the world’s only fully integrated economic model and 200 full-time economists...

    This report updates in 25-Aug-2018

Created Date:2000-03-16
Changed Date:2017-02-09

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home free trial free trial sign in sign in forecasts and models countries economic forecasts and reports economic model and scenarios event-driven analysis risk assessment industries industry forecasts and reports cities and regions city forecasts and reports travel and tourism forecast data and custom analysis for countries, cities, and industries all subscription services 200+ countries 100+ industries 4,000+ cities & regions tourism forecasts contact us to find out more about our forecasting services, models, and scenarios. request trial consulting we combine the analytical skills of our economists and thought leadership team to deliver unique and groundbreaking research. trending brexit ifrs9/cecl scenarios circular industries demonstrate economic impact and social value establish your firm as a thought leader develop forecasts and explore scenarios evaluate the impact of policy changes about us my oxford contact sectors we serve oxford economics for my sector how we help asset management b2c banking chemicals energy government infrastructure manufacturing mining real estate technology travel and tourism the leader in global forecasting and quantitative analysis latest global outlook august/september 2018 mounting trade tensions and dearer oil may worsen an ongoing global slowdown. eurozone activity is faltering and risks cloud emerging market prospects. but we do not expect a sharp loss of momentum and still see only moderate deceleration in global growth. we maintain our world growth forecasts at 3.1% this year and 2.9% for 2019, supported by us fiscal stimulus and still relatively healthy chinese domestic demand. download free summary forecasts and models oxford economics is a leader in global forecasting and quantitative analysis, with the world’s only fully integrated economic model and 200 full-time economists, we help our clients track, analyse, and model country, industry, and urban trends. learn more consulting our economists and thought leadership specialists are expert at applying advanced economic tools to provide valuable insights into today’s most pressing business, financial, and policy issues. learn more latest analysis united states: risk management becomes new fed mantra in jackson hole in his first jackson hole speech, federal reserve chair powell noted “good reasons” to expect a strong economy, and suggested “further gradual” rate hikes would balance the risks of tightening monetar... united states: us and china raise bilateral tariffs amidst trade talks the us and china imposed further 25% tariffs on $16 billion of bilateral imports today – the second leg of previously announced tariffs on $50 billion of imports. these new tariffs indicate still-elev... eurozone: ecb increasingly confident about sustained wage growth the minutes of the ecb’s july’s meeting confirm that the central bank has become increasingly confident about the inflation outlook as a result of strengthening wage growth. recent data are likely to ... united kingdom: slow and steady may win the race with growth in q2 of this year meaning that the economy is heading towards a decade without a recession, the current, post-2009, economic expansion has already exceeded the average length of previous ... united states: fed minutes reiterate strong outlook and gradual hikes minutes from the july 31 – august 1 fomc policy meeting show activity and inflation progressed in line with participants’ expectations. many participants suggested it would “likely soon” be appropriat... 1 2 3 4 5 6 > see all recent releases recent releases life insurance as a social catalyst rising us life insurance payouts boost america’s house prices and employment, cut poverty, and reduce federal spending. charter communications: delivering economic impact in all 50 states charter's investments in its people, infrastructure and operations contribute $48 billion to us gdp and supports nearly half a million jobs. charter communications is the second largest cable operator... more the impact of the bae systems military aircraft business on the uk economy in 2016, the bae systems military aircraft business sustained nearly 48,900 jobs in the uk, supported a £3.2 billion contribution to gdp and made a total tax contribution of £900 million to the excheq... more global infrastructure outlook in 2017, the global infrastructure hub, in partnership with oxford economics, launched the global infrastructure outlook study to explore how much the world needs to invest in infrastructure in the ye... more our new mobile apps available for ios and android, our mobile app makes it simple to access our analysis from your handheld device. learn more new service: sovereign risk tool a rigorous and transparent framework to measure the vulnerability of 166 countries to a sovereign crisis or a sovereign distress. learn more african forecasting service a comprehensive view of national and city economies across africa learn more ifrs9/cecl macroeconomic scenarios an unbiased and transparent view of the forward-looking distribution for the economy essential to meeting regulatory requirements. learn more see full press archive in the media the wall street journal: optimism on european growth reverses as headwinds mount bbc: turkey's lira crisis explained the wall street journal: the debate that evenly divides economists: is this a ‘trade war?’ south china post: china carefully cherry-picking tariffs to impose in trade war with us financial times: new us sanctions fears push russian rouble towards 2-year low bloomberg: boj watchers pare back expectations of future policy changes the new york times: imran khan’s first test: pakistan’s troubled economy the times: experts fail to cut bank rate-setters any slack the wall street journal: u.s. trade gap widened in june the washington post: under trump’s watch, the u.s. is on track for the highest trade deficit in 10 years see all tweets latest tweets rt @gregdaco: #fed chair powell #jacksonhole speech: good reasons to expect "strong economy" "further gradual" rate hikes "likely appr… rt @gregdaco: us durable goods #orders fell 1.7% in july & shipments -0.2%, but weakness due to weak aircraft component. core capital goods… in @ft oe's oliver rakau says that the ecb's increasing confidence around strengthening wage growth and inflation keeps them on track to end qe at the end of the year: on.ft.com/2lmiaai via @financialtimes though japanese inflation picked up in july, we still expect it to average only 1% over 2018 as a whole, well below the boj's target of 2%. against this backdrop #boj will have to remain committed to expansionary monetary policy: bit.ly/2ne1wmx the #ecb has become increasingly confident about the inflation outlook due to strengthening wage growth. we expect stronger wage growth to filter through to core inflation over the coming quarters, keeping the ecb on course to end qe at the end of the year bit.ly/2n9l7bd the changing global environment and outflows from local debt securities have made egypt's privatisation programme more urgent. but the strategy might be too cautious and going partly-private might only bring partial success: bit.ly/2msp2e9 argentina's embi spreads have spiked in parallel with turkey's. but with the support of an imf package and a strong commitment from the authorities to correct imbalances, we think the risk of a credit event in the next 12 months is very low: bit.ly/2lmy7ox oxford economics about us contact us economists and analysts careers privacy policy products and services subscription services economic impact thought leadership help and software help using our services software and downloads latest technology developments follow us linkedin twitter facebook © oxford economics 2018 all rights reserved

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